Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 2.350487 2.683065 3.046285 3.472496 3.959067 4.497409 5.138504
2025-08-24 1.850777 2.304962 2.845683 3.537285 4.399203 5.439173 6.791255
2025-08-31 1.573463 2.080228 2.720324 3.589011 4.739003 6.211971 8.246734
2025-09-07 1.353340 1.878795 2.575413 3.567851 4.948370 6.805491 9.502126
2025-09-14 1.172529 1.698056 2.424571 3.504089 5.071640 7.272056 10.608750
2025-09-21 1.038444 1.561823 2.313000 3.472051 5.221159 7.772003 11.793709
2025-09-28 0.923279 1.437294 2.200668 3.419773 5.325344 8.203037 12.904627
2025-10-05 0.895284 1.439412 2.273777 3.649941 5.873140 9.342259 15.203095
2025-10-12 0.825630 1.367725 2.223999 3.679225 6.103271 10.002649 16.798745
2025-10-19 0.785477 1.338560 2.237064 3.807994 6.501852 10.962102 18.968923
2025-10-26 0.721474 1.262655 2.165349 3.786322 6.643049 11.503328 20.474936
2025-11-02 0.666529 1.196460 2.102918 3.772644 6.793090 12.067040 22.065084
2025-11-09 0.603928 1.115112 2.014333 3.718395 6.891888 12.595737 23.734976
2025-11-16 0.565615 1.074505 1.995331 3.791024 7.234794 13.608023 26.434315
2025-11-23 0.529254 1.033056 1.969544 3.846348 7.547954 14.592237 29.182222
2025-11-30 0.487008 0.975505 1.907168 3.823662 7.706127 15.294406 31.449168
2025-12-07 0.444140 0.911967 1.826447 3.755278 7.764454 15.803758 33.376902
2025-12-14 0.409637 0.861523 1.766128 3.720917 7.886421 16.449090 35.651838
2025-12-21 0.376499 0.810349 1.699029 3.664852 7.955763 16.990302 37.759362
2025-12-28 0.375062 0.826083 1.771340 3.911703 8.697059 19.016912 43.335434
2026-01-04 0.354047 0.797081 1.746054 3.943111 8.968761 20.056970 46.810211
2026-01-11 0.343580 0.790329 1.767940 4.081220 9.492824 21.703284 51.856029
2026-01-18 0.321164 0.754145 1.721230 4.057975 9.643412 22.520129 55.034697